FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.06 – 45.64

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

176 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.5 ±12.8

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 82.03Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 10.63Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11458Mechcats

Season APEX 39Event APEX 33.4Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 145.6 ±13.3

5525Alcona Tool Cats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 17.54Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 18.13Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9736Tawas Braves

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 9.97Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5533, 11527, 11458

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5533, 11527, 11458

Auto

22.3 17%

Teleop

63.8 50%

Endgame

41.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5525, 5424, 9736

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5525, 5424, 9736

Auto

19.9 44%

Teleop

8.5 19%

Endgame

17.3 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.1pts

Blue projected score45.6pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.4
Score range: 27–145
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 105.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.5Season APEX145.6

22.3Auto19.9

63.8Teleop8.5

41.5Endgame17.3

40Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	23
teleop	90	38
endgame	64	26
foul	0	15
total	176	102

Result

Final score

176 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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