Qualification · Qualification 5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
133 – 148.42
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
96 – 73
Prediction missed · off by 56.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 45Event APEX 8.17Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 118Event APEX 89.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 35.4Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 62.33Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 84.84Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 1.25Rank 39Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6533, 5533, 9685
68
/ 100 compatProjected
133 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6533, 5533, 9685
Auto
40.9 31%
Teleop
52.5 40%
Endgame
37.0 28%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 6753, 5712, 5504
74
/ 100 compatProjected
148.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6753, 5712, 5504
Auto
32.6 22%
Teleop
78.6 54%
Endgame
34.9 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score133pts
Blue projected score148.4pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15.4
- Score range
- 111–170
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
227.3Season APEX388.8
40.9Auto32.6
52.5Teleop78.6
37Endgame34.9
89Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 10 |
| teleop | 43 | 41 |
| endgame | 10 | 22 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 96 | 73 |
Result
Final score
96 – 73
Prediction missed · off by 56.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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