FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

154.97 – 113.83

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

157 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 7.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.6 ±11

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 46.3Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 86.31Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5603The WarriorBots

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 22.36Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.6 ±12.4

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 40.31Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX 22.68Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 50.84Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6753, 8517, 5603

/ 100 compat

Projected

155 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6753, 8517, 5603

Auto

26.7 18%

Teleop

95.0 63%

Endgame

29.5 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3425, 6073, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3425, 6073, 2619

Auto

24.2 21%

Teleop

63.6 55%

Endgame

28.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score155pts

Blue projected score113.8pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.1
Score range: 95–174
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 104.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336.6Season APEX310.6

26.7Auto24.2

95Teleop63.6

29.5Endgame28.2

114Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	20
teleop	48	84
endgame	84	17
foul	5	5
total	157	126

Result

Final score

157 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 7.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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