FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.97 – 0

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 59 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.9 ±11.7

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 28.31Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX -2.56Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 70.22Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 101.4 ±13.9

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 9.65Rank 39Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -13.7Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 3.9Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9685, 9238, 5712

/ 100 compat

Projected

96 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9685, 9238, 5712

Auto

21.0 21%

Teleop

50.8 52%

Endgame

26.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5504, 5231, 6533

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5504, 5231, 6533

Auto

25.2 0%

Teleop

-18.3 100%

Endgame

-10.8 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96pts

Blue projected score-0.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96
Score range: -19–115
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 214 vs event baseline 104.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352.9Season APEX101.4

21Auto25.2

50.8Teleop-18.3

26.1Endgame-10.8

94Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	16
teleop	85	17
endgame	47	4
foul	0	0
total	177	37

Result

Final score

177 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 59 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.