FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

180.24 – 92.94

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 457 ±10.7

10587Windover Wing Nuts

Season APEX 51Event APEX 16.48Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 73.03Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 90.73Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.8 ±12.7

5561Raider Robotics

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 38.45Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 29.8Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6067The Underdogs

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 24.69Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10587, 5216, 8873

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10587, 5216, 8873

Auto

33.3 18%

Teleop

109.3 60%

Endgame

39.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5561, 1596, 6067

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5561, 1596, 6067

Auto

23.7 25%

Teleop

43.2 45%

Endgame

28.6 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score180.2pts

Blue projected score92.9pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.3
Score range: 74–199
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 104.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

457Season APEX226.8

33.3Auto23.7

109.3Teleop43.2

39.7Endgame28.6

27Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	21
teleop	113	36
endgame	3	8
foul	0	0
total	166	65

Result

Final score

166 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.