FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.61 – 94.32

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

154 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335 ±11.2

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX 25.32Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 92.7Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 48.59Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261 ±12.4

5504The Loose Connections

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 9.37Rank 39Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10547United Phoenix

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 23.89Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3770BlitzCreek

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 61.06Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6073, 8873, 6753

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6073, 8873, 6753

Auto

29.3 18%

Teleop

83.4 52%

Endgame

46.2 29%

Strengths

· 8873 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5504, 10547, 3770

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5504, 10547, 3770

Auto

23.7 25%

Teleop

45.5 48%

Endgame

25.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score166.6pts

Blue projected score94.3pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.3
Score range: 75–186
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 102.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335Season APEX261

29.3Auto23.7

83.4Teleop45.5

46.2Endgame25.7

81Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	41
teleop	106	20
endgame	13	32
foul	0	15
total	154	108

Result

Final score

154 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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