FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.64 – 62.96

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.2 ±13.3

9731All Saints Range Precision

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -2.23Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX -3.02Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 27.89Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.3 ±13.3

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX 22.76Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 27.62Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10587Windover Wing Nuts

Season APEX 51Event APEX 12.58Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9731, 9238, 9661

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9731, 9238, 9661

Auto

15.4 66%

Teleop

10.6 45%

Endgame

-2.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 6073, 9685, 10587

/ 100 compat

Projected

63 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6073, 9685, 10587

Auto

19.3 36%

Teleop

26.1 49%

Endgame

7.9 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score22.6pts

Blue projected score63pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.3
Score range: 4–82
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 104.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.2Season APEX158.3

15.4Auto19.3

10.6Teleop26.1

-2.6Endgame7.9

129Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	24
teleop	17	24
endgame	7	36
foul	0	0
total	41	84

Result

Final score

41 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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