FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

104.52 – 100.52

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

146 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.1 ±11.7

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 67.72Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5561Raider Robotics

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 33.35Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 3.45Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.3 ±12.2

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 28.53Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11458Mechcats

Season APEX 39Event APEX 25.95Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 46.04Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5216, 5561, 11527

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5216, 5561, 11527

Auto

26.1 23%

Teleop

59.5 52%

Endgame

29.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5538, 11458, 6753

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5538, 11458, 6753

Auto

12.1 11%

Teleop

52.7 49%

Endgame

42.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104.5pts

Blue projected score100.5pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4
Score range: 82–124
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 103.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.1Season APEX216.3

26.1Auto12.1

59.5Teleop52.7

29.2Endgame42.3

2Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	21
teleop	71	66
endgame	41	36
foul	0	0
total	146	123

Result

Final score

146 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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