FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.43 – 130.99

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.6 ±13.3

6067The Underdogs

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 17.85Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 14.96Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5509Like a Boss

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 15.62Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.3 ±11.7

7784Vassar Voltage

Season APEX 47Event APEX 1.22Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 83.12Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 46.65Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6067, 5424, 5509

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6067, 5424, 5509

Auto

26.1 50%

Teleop

15.8 30%

Endgame

10.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7784, 8517, 3357

/ 100 compat

Projected

131 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7784, 8517, 3357

Auto

17.7 14%

Teleop

81.9 67%

Endgame

23.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.4pts

Blue projected score131pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82.6
Score range: 30–149
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 100.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

138.6Season APEX328.3

26.1Auto17.7

15.8Teleop81.9

10.8Endgame23.4

82Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	39
teleop	11	120
endgame	22	34
foul	10	15
total	59	208

Result

Final score

59 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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