FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

135.72 – 69.88

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

170 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 29.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.4 ±10.5

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 48.46Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5561Raider Robotics

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 30.69Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5229Heritage Hawkbots

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 56.57Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.5 ±13.3

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 40.22Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9661Huskie STEAM

Season APEX 66.7Event APEX 30.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX -0.4Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5712, 5561, 5229

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5712, 5561, 5229

Auto

13.8 10%

Teleop

74.0 54%

Endgame

50.0 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3425, 9661, 11527

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3425, 9661, 11527

Auto

13.8 18%

Teleop

63.5 82%

Endgame

-0.2 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score135.7pts

Blue projected score69.9pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.8
Score range: 52–154
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 99.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

475.4Season APEX169.5

13.8Auto13.8

74Teleop63.5

50Endgame-0.2

44Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	28
teleop	103	36
endgame	26	31
foul	5	0
total	170	95

Result

Final score

170 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 29.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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