FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.02 – 91.7

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.2 ±11.7

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 20.67Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 39.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9731All Saints Range Precision

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -11.08Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348.7 ±11.7

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 34.13Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10629Bath High School Bee-Botics

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -9.3Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 66.87Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9685, 2619, 9731

/ 100 compat

Projected

49 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9685, 2619, 9731

Auto

17.5 36%

Teleop

18.3 38%

Endgame

12.5 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 6033, 10629, 201

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6033, 10629, 201

Auto

29.2 35%

Teleop

42.9 52%

Endgame

10.6 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49pts

Blue projected score91.7pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -42.7
Score range: 31–110
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 215 vs event baseline 99.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317.2Season APEX348.7

17.5Auto29.2

18.3Teleop42.9

12.5Endgame10.6

163Consistency155

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	26
teleop	45	68
endgame	22	23
foul	0	0
total	98	117

Result

Final score

98 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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