Qualification · Qualification 29
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
118.42 – 69.4
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
106 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 17 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 18.12Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 58.8Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 41.5Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 20.56Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 48.03Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 0.81Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5509, 6753, 1596
78
/ 100 compatProjected
118.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5509, 6753, 1596
Auto
23.3 19%
Teleop
67.1 55%
Endgame
31.4 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5603, 3770, 9238
48
/ 100 compatProjected
69.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5603, 3770, 9238
Auto
17.1 23%
Teleop
44.5 60%
Endgame
12.0 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score118.4pts
Blue projected score69.4pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 49
- Score range
- 51–136
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
245.6Season APEX274.9
23.3Auto17.1
67.1Teleop44.5
31.4Endgame12
141Consistency37
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 26 |
| teleop | 50 | 29 |
| endgame | 27 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 106 | 91 |
Result
Final score
106 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 17 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.