FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.65 – 69.74

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.3 ±13.3

5525Alcona Tool Cats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 21.1Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 19.68Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX -11.13Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.3 ±12.2

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX 19.5Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9648Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 9.46Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 40.78Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5525, 5538, 6533

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5525, 5538, 6533

Auto

11.1 38%

Teleop

2.8 10%

Endgame

15.1 52%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6073, 9648, 3357

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6073, 9648, 3357

Auto

4.8 7%

Teleop

34.4 51%

Endgame

28.5 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score29.7pts

Blue projected score69.7pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.1
Score range: 12–88
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 97.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.3Season APEX207.3

11.1Auto4.8

2.8Teleop34.4

15.1Endgame28.5

54Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	17
teleop	34	46
endgame	12	25
foul	5	30
total	69	118

Result

Final score

69 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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