FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.24 – 121.93

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 35.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143 ±13.3

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 18.87Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 19.47Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX 16.9Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268 ±11.7

9648Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 10.54Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6067The Underdogs

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 11.89Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 99.5Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9238, 5538, 6073

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9238, 5538, 6073

Auto

12.2 24%

Teleop

19.0 37%

Endgame

19.5 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9648, 6067, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9648, 6067, 5166

Auto

18.5 16%

Teleop

64.7 55%

Endgame

34.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.2pts

Blue projected score121.9pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.7
Score range: 33–144
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 106 vs event baseline 121.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143Season APEX268

12.2Auto18.5

19Teleop64.7

19.5Endgame34.8

74Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	31
teleop	11	36
endgame	5	16
foul	0	0
total	23	83

Result

Final score

23 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 35.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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