FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

45.57 – 0

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

108 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.6 ±11.7

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 10.25Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5509Like a Boss

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 14.72Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6033Gadget Agents

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 20.6Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.4 ±13.9

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX -2.45Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6067The Underdogs

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX -16.98Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 14.69Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2619, 5509, 6033

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2619, 5509, 6033

Auto

23.9 47%

Teleop

19.9 39%

Endgame

7.3 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9662, 6067, 5231

/ 100 compat

Projected

-4.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9662, 6067, 5231

Auto

13.4 0%

Teleop

-14.5 92%

Endgame

-14.7 93%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.6pts

Blue projected score-4.7pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.6
Score range: -18–64
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 98.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.6Season APEX128.4

23.9Auto13.4

19.9Teleop-14.5

7.3Endgame-14.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	14
teleop	52	10
endgame	23	9
foul	0	0
total	108	33

Result

Final score

108 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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