FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.25 – 43.68

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

138 – 243

Prediction missed · off by 127 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.5 ±12.4

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX -4.21Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 57.13Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11458Mechcats

Season APEX 39Event APEX 30.33Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 415.6 ±11.2

10547United Phoenix

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -14.05Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 39.11Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 18.62Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6073, 201, 11458

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6073, 201, 11458

Auto

22.1 31%

Teleop

34.1 47%

Endgame

15.8 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10547, 5533, 5712

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10547, 5533, 5712

Auto

19.7 49%

Teleop

12.2 30%

Endgame

8.6 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.3pts

Blue projected score43.7pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.6
Score range: 27–100
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 381 vs event baseline 93.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.5Season APEX415.6

22.1Auto19.7

34.1Teleop12.2

15.8Endgame8.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	33
teleop	71	150
endgame	33	60
foul	0	0
total	138	243

Result

Final score

138 – 243

Prediction missed · off by 127 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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