FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.81 – 82.24

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.2 ±12.2

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 24.3Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10629Bath High School Bee-Botics

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 6.51Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 26Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.7 ±11.7

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 13.7Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10587Windover Wing Nuts

Season APEX 51Event APEX 5.46Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 63.08Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6753, 10629, 9685

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6753, 10629, 9685

Auto

14.4 27%

Teleop

23.9 45%

Endgame

14.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5538, 10587, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5538, 10587, 5166

Auto

21.1 26%

Teleop

42.3 51%

Endgame

19.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.8pts

Blue projected score82.2pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.4
Score range: 41–98
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 89.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.2Season APEX271.7

14.4Auto21.1

23.9Teleop42.3

14.9Endgame19.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	13
teleop	61	73
endgame	21	52
foul	0	0
total	98	138

Result

Final score

98 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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