FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

52.64 – 0

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

169 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.8 ±10.7

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 35.39Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5231The Radical Jays

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -4.97Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 22.22Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.6 ±13.9

11527FCCA Chrome Crew

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX -1.82Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6073Cav-Bots

Season APEX 43Event APEX -9.89Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9662Valley Lutheran Chargers

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 1.08Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 201, 5231, 8873

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 201, 5231, 8873

Auto

11.7 22%

Teleop

29.2 56%

Endgame

11.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11527, 6073, 9662

/ 100 compat

Projected

-10.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11527, 6073, 9662

Auto

-1.8 15%

Teleop

1.3 0%

Endgame

-11.7 96%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.6pts

Blue projected score-10.6pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.6
Score range: -15–68
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 83.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

453.8Season APEX137.6

11.7Auto-1.8

29.2Teleop1.3

11.3Endgame-11.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	5
teleop	63	15
endgame	36	10
foul	30	0
total	169	30

Result

Final score

169 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.