FIM District Midland Event presented by Dow

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.45 – 90.07

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 61.7 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.8 ±13.9

6067The Underdogs

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 3.19Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6533BeaverTech noducks

Season APEX 45Event APEX 27.43Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10587Windover Wing Nuts

Season APEX 51Event APEX 15.83Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.6 ±11

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 27.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 36.86Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 25.78Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6067, 6533, 10587

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6067, 6533, 10587

Auto

17.1 41%

Teleop

20.5 49%

Endgame

3.9 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5533, 8517, 5424

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5533, 8517, 5424

Auto

24.0 30%

Teleop

49.4 61%

Endgame

7.0 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.5pts

Blue projected score90.1pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.6
Score range: 31–105
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 82.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.8Season APEX327.6

17.1Auto24

20.5Teleop49.4

3.9Endgame7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	44
teleop	9	99
endgame	6	49
foul	0	0
total	25	192

Result

Final score

25 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 61.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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