Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
405.78 – 171.69
95%5%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
439 – 175
Prediction correct · off by 18.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 578.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 11.51Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 209.3Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 184.97Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 59.15Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 65.52Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 47.02Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8374, 2137, 7166
84
/ 100 compatProjected
405.8 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8374, 2137, 7166
Auto
89.8 22%
Teleop
206.1 51%
Endgame
105.6 26%
Strengths
- · 2137 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8179, 6078, 9255
66
/ 100 compatProjected
171.7 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8179, 6078, 9255
Auto
31.0 18%
Teleop
100.7 59%
Endgame
37.7 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.64
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score405.8pts
Blue projected score171.7pts
Red win probability95%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 234.1
- Score range
- 145–433
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
578.8Season APEX267.6
89.8Auto31
206.1Teleop100.7
105.6Endgame37.7
3Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 109 | 43 |
| teleop | 230 | 77 |
| endgame | 95 | 45 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 439 | 175 |
Result
Final score
439 – 175
Prediction correct · off by 18.3 pts
Match videos
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