Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
146.12 – 369.41
6%94%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
165 – 238
Prediction correct · off by 75.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.5 ±10.5
Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 35.96Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 20.75Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 89.41Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 578.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -1.21Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 197.13Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 173.49Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8424, 7491, 3707
61
/ 100 compatProjected
146.1 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8424, 7491, 3707
Auto
27.9 19%
Teleop
82.4 56%
Endgame
35.7 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8374, 2137, 7166
84
/ 100 compatProjected
369.4 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8374, 2137, 7166
Auto
87.4 24%
Teleop
188.3 52%
Endgame
89.2 24%
Strengths
- · 2137 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score146.1pts
Blue projected score369.4pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -223.3
- Score range
- 118–397
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
425.5Season APEX578.8
27.9Auto87.4
82.4Teleop188.3
35.7Endgame89.2
45Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 44 | 64 |
| teleop | 76 | 130 |
| endgame | 35 | 44 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 165 | 238 |
Result
Final score
165 – 238
Prediction correct · off by 75.1 pts
Match videos
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