FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.84 – 81.99

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.7 ±12.2

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 32.84Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11490The Southwest Sparks

Season APEX 38Event APEX 11.14Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 32.86Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.6 ±11.2

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 32.86Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 32.84Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 16.29Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7491, 11490, 11503

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7491, 11490, 11503

Auto

17.8 23%

Teleop

42.0 54%

Endgame

17.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9255, 4327, 9238

/ 100 compat

Projected

82 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9255, 4327, 9238

Auto

16.6 20%

Teleop

39.4 48%

Endgame

26.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.8pts

Blue projected score82pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.1
Score range: 54–105
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 127.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.7Season APEX267.6

17.8Auto16.6

42Teleop39.4

17.6Endgame26.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	17
teleop	13	86
endgame	16	41
foul	0	0
total	44	144

Result

Final score

44 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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