FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.63 – 131.55

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.6 ±12.8

10629Bath High School Bee-Botics

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 10.45Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6085Green Devil Bots

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 38.04Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 12.14Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.4 ±11.7

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 63.38Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 32.73Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 35.44Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10629, 6085, 6591

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10629, 6085, 6591

Auto

19.1 32%

Teleop

27.7 46%

Endgame

13.4 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6078, 11503, 8424

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6078, 11503, 8424

Auto

23.8 19%

Teleop

76.1 61%

Endgame

25.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.6pts

Blue projected score131.6pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.9
Score range: 34–159
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 220 vs event baseline 148.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.6Season APEX284.4

19.1Auto23.8

27.7Teleop76.1

13.4Endgame25.3

5Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	19
teleop	25	87
endgame	12	56
foul	0	0
total	58	162

Result

Final score

58 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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