FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.07 – 125.19

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 182.8 ±12.7

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 26.37Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5674The Gearhounds

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 57.25Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7226Error 404

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 63.45Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.2 ±11

9312NERD Spark

Season APEX 101.3Event APEX 45.64Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 19.45Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 60.1Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4776, 5674, 7226

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4776, 5674, 7226

Auto

20.4 14%

Teleop

83.1 59%

Endgame

37.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9312, 7491, 8179

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9312, 7491, 8179

Auto

33.4 27%

Teleop

66.9 54%

Endgame

24.2 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.1pts

Blue projected score125.2pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.9
Score range: 98–174
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 149.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

182.8Season APEX260.2

20.4Auto33.4

83.1Teleop66.9

37.6Endgame24.2

26Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	35
teleop	65	65
endgame	37	20
foul	0	0
total	128	120

Result

Final score

128 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.