FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.29 – 293.54

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

121 – 311

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.4 ±11.7

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 12.74Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9251EliteBots

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 19.27Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 80.28Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 521.5 ±10.7

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 23.75Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 180.66Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 89.13Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5704, 9251, 4327

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5704, 9251, 4327

Auto

14.7 14%

Teleop

55.2 51%

Endgame

38.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1940, 5712, 3707

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1940, 5712, 3707

Auto

50.0 17%

Teleop

187.4 63%

Endgame

59.1 20%

Strengths

· 5712 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.3pts

Blue projected score293.5pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -181.2
Score range: 85–321
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 148.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.4Season APEX521.5

14.7Auto50

55.2Teleop187.4

38.9Endgame59.1

53Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	44
teleop	57	210
endgame	42	57
foul	0	0
total	121	311

Result

Final score

121 – 311

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.