Qualification · Qualification 70
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
114.25 – 286.42
10%90%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
101 – 287
Prediction correct · off by 6.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.6 ±12.4
Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 23.83Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 0.43Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 89.99Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 530 ±9.9
Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 180.76Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 86.25Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 19.41Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7289, 9203, 3707
56
/ 100 compatProjected
114.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7289, 9203, 3707
Auto
28.8 25%
Teleop
60.0 52%
Endgame
26.8 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5712, 910, 9251
81
/ 100 compatProjected
286.4 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5712, 910, 9251
Auto
52.0 18%
Teleop
170.9 60%
Endgame
62.0 22%
Strengths
- · 5712 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score114.3pts
Blue projected score286.4pts
Red win probability10%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -172.2
- Score range
- 87–313
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
334.6Season APEX530
28.8Auto52
60Teleop170.9
26.8Endgame62
26Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 47 |
| teleop | 74 | 174 |
| endgame | 4 | 66 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 101 | 287 |
Result
Final score
101 – 287
Prediction correct · off by 6.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.