FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.11 – 94.47

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

225 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.6 ±11.2

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 36.76Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 188.63Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8362Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 18.72Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.1 ±13.3

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 10.96Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 17.03Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 66.48Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11503, 7166, 8362

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11503, 7166, 8362

Auto

42.7 17%

Teleop

132.7 54%

Endgame

70.4 29%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8374, 9238, 6078

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8374, 9238, 6078

Auto

13.4 15%

Teleop

48.6 53%

Endgame

30.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score244.1pts

Blue projected score94.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 149.6
Score range: 67–271
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 308 vs event baseline 149.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417.6Season APEX156.1

42.7Auto13.4

132.7Teleop48.6

70.4Endgame30

10Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	22
teleop	88	38
endgame	31	23
foul	75	0
total	225	83

Result

Final score

225 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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