FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.73 – 119.4

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.4 ±11.2

6085Green Devil Bots

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 39.7Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11444Cougar Claw Robotics

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 18.15Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 208.88Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.9 ±11.7

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 32.53Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 7.83Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 79.04Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6085, 11444, 2137

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6085, 11444, 2137

Auto

73.3 27%

Teleop

129.9 48%

Endgame

65.5 24%

Strengths

· 2137 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3655, 1504, 4327

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3655, 1504, 4327

Auto

28.3 25%

Teleop

64.8 56%

Endgame

22.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266.7pts

Blue projected score119.4pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147.3
Score range: 92–294
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 391 vs event baseline 148.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.4Season APEX231.9

73.3Auto28.3

129.9Teleop64.8

65.5Endgame22.3

30Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	42
teleop	109	51
endgame	61	48
foul	0	5
total	245	146

Result

Final score

245 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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