FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

145.65 – 55.86

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

190 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 34.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.8 ±12.2

5926Da Moose

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 47.72Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7056The F.A.S.T. Team - Fowlerville Area Scientific Technicians

Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 100.89Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9203Quake

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -2.96Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.2 ±13.3

9237The Dragonators

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 13.16Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 14.48Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 28.22Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5926, 7056, 9203

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5926, 7056, 9203

Auto

29.0 20%

Teleop

71.6 49%

Endgame

44.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9237, 6591, 4776

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9237, 6591, 4776

Auto

15.1 29%

Teleop

12.7 24%

Endgame

24.7 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score145.7pts

Blue projected score55.9pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.8
Score range: 29–173
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 149.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.8Season APEX169.2

29Auto15.1

71.6Teleop12.7

44.9Endgame24.7

31Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	11
teleop	105	9
endgame	47	11
foul	0	0
total	190	31

Result

Final score

190 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 34.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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