FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

228.25 – 166.81

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

275 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 395.2 ±11.2

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 33.27Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 177.19Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10606The Foley Flare

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 17.79Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.4 ±11.7

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 14.45Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 139.77Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 12.59Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11503, 5712, 10606

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11503, 5712, 10606

Auto

61.5 28%

Teleop

101.9 46%

Endgame

59.4 27%

Strengths

· 5712 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7491, 8608, 5704

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7491, 8608, 5704

Auto

16.1 10%

Teleop

100.2 62%

Endgame

46.5 29%

Strengths

· 8608 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score228.3pts

Blue projected score166.8pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.4
Score range: 140–255
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 448 vs event baseline 148.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

395.2Season APEX397.4

61.5Auto16.1

101.9Teleop100.2

59.4Endgame46.5

10Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	9
teleop	179	112
endgame	58	52
foul	0	0
total	275	173

Result

Final score

275 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.