FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.42 – 159.38

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.9 ±13.3

8362Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 19.38Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9251EliteBots

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 19.61Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 20.43Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 371.1 ±11.2

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 84.74Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 60.11Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11490The Southwest Sparks

Season APEX 38Event APEX 14.53Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8362, 9251, 1940

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8362, 9251, 1940

Auto

13.7 24%

Teleop

28.6 50%

Endgame

14.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3707, 8179, 11490

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3707, 8179, 11490

Auto

40.2 25%

Teleop

97.8 61%

Endgame

22.2 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59.4pts

Blue projected score159.4pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -100
Score range: 32–186
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 148.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.9Season APEX371.1

13.7Auto40.2

28.6Teleop97.8

14.4Endgame22.2

25Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	34
teleop	26	132
endgame	16	48
foul	5	0
total	53	214

Result

Final score

53 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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