FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.93 – 320.62

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.7 ±12.8

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 32.73Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 17.85Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 17.35Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.5 ±12.4

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 203.13Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7226Error 404

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 58.44Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 59.05Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8424, 5225, 9238

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 5225, 9238

Auto

12.3 18%

Teleop

33.2 49%

Endgame

22.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2137, 7226, 6078

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2137, 7226, 6078

Auto

73.7 23%

Teleop

177.5 56%

Endgame

64.4 20%

Strengths

· 2137 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.9pts

Blue projected score320.6pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -252.7
Score range: 41–348
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 451 vs event baseline 147.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.7Season APEX419.5

12.3Auto73.7

33.2Teleop177.5

22Endgame64.4

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	64
teleop	26	233
endgame	16	99
foul	0	0
total	55	396

Result

Final score

55 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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