FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

42.98 – 62.9

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.2 ±13.9

8362Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 17.05Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10606The Foley Flare

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 17.89Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 8.04Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184 ±13.3

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 14.6Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 27.34Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9251EliteBots

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 20.96Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8362, 10606, 1504

/ 100 compat

Projected

43 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8362, 10606, 1504

Auto

27.0 72%

Teleop

-5.2 0%

Endgame

15.8 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6591, 7289, 9251

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6591, 7289, 9251

Auto

19.7 35%

Teleop

11.3 20%

Endgame

26.0 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43pts

Blue projected score62.9pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.9
Score range: 17–89
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 129 vs event baseline 146.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.2Season APEX184

27Auto19.7

-5.2Teleop11.3

15.8Endgame26

15Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	23
teleop	23	31
endgame	21	11
foul	0	0
total	64	65

Result

Final score

64 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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