FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.98 – 44.89

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

61 – 50

Prediction missed · off by 11.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.6 ±12.8

9753Team Success

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 4.15Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9203Quake

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -2.74Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 42.57Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129.3 ±13.3

10629Bath High School Bee-Botics

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 5.47Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 13.09Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 26.33Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9753, 9203, 9255

/ 100 compat

Projected

44 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9753, 9203, 9255

Auto

15.2 33%

Teleop

14.4 32%

Endgame

15.8 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10629, 5704, 10577

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10629, 5704, 10577

Auto

5.1 12%

Teleop

16.8 39%

Endgame

21.1 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44pts

Blue projected score44.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.9
Score range: 17–72
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 147.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.6Season APEX129.3

15.2Auto5.1

14.4Teleop16.8

15.8Endgame21.1

38Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	13
teleop	32	35
endgame	22	2
foul	0	0
total	61	50

Result

Final score

61 – 50

Prediction missed · off by 11.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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