FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.19 – 246.54

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 311

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.9 ±12.7

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 11.95Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 14.35Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 3.89Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.7 ±12.4

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 14.44Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 52.35Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 179.75Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7818, 7491, 8374

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7818, 7491, 8374

Auto

12.1 37%

Teleop

5.8 18%

Endgame

14.9 45%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1940, 6078, 7166

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1940, 6078, 7166

Auto

34.6 14%

Teleop

150.4 61%

Endgame

61.6 25%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score30.2pts

Blue projected score246.5pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -216.3
Score range: 4–273
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 146.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

126.9Season APEX386.7

12.1Auto34.6

5.8Teleop150.4

14.9Endgame61.6

82Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	54
teleop	32	194
endgame	9	63
foul	0	0
total	63	311

Result

Final score

63 – 311

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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