FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.4 – 373.42

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 391

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.2 ±13.3

9251EliteBots

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 17.24Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9237The Dragonators

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 14.45Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 14.71Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 607.1 ±9.9

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 202.98Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 23.4Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 147.04Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9251, 9237, 9238

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9251, 9237, 9238

Auto

12.6 28%

Teleop

5.3 12%

Endgame

27.2 60%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2137, 4776, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

373.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2137, 4776, 8608

Auto

78.0 21%

Teleop

205.5 56%

Endgame

86.1 23%

Strengths

· 2137 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.46 · Blue 2.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.4pts

Blue projected score373.4pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -327
Score range: 20–399
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 467 vs event baseline 144.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

174.2Season APEX607.1

12.6Auto78

5.3Teleop205.5

27.2Endgame86.1

29Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	83
teleop	24	192
endgame	21	116
foul	20	0
total	76	391

Result

Final score

76 – 391

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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