FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.89 – 284.04

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.3 ±13.3

7226Error 404

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 66.34Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 5.08Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 17.47Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470.9 ±10.5

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 21.37Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7056The F.A.S.T. Team - Fowlerville Area Scientific Technicians

Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 95.99Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 166.68Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7226, 8374, 1504

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7226, 8374, 1504

Auto

18.5 21%

Teleop

56.8 65%

Endgame

12.1 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10577, 7056, 5712

/ 100 compat

Projected

284 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10577, 7056, 5712

Auto

55.7 20%

Teleop

162.7 58%

Endgame

64.5 23%

Strengths

· 5712 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.9pts

Blue projected score284pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -195.2
Score range: 63–310
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 143.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.3Season APEX470.9

18.5Auto55.7

56.8Teleop162.7

12.1Endgame64.5

49Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	68
teleop	52	192
endgame	10	97
foul	5	0
total	85	357

Result

Final score

85 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.