Qualification · Qualification 5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
348.78 – 65.22
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
386 – 39
Prediction correct · off by 31.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 523.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 179.22Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 57.76Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 111.8Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 98.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 38Event APEX 24.94Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 30.47Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 9.81Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2137, 8179, 7056
85
/ 100 compatProjected
348.8 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2137, 8179, 7056
Auto
90.5 25%
Teleop
181.2 51%
Endgame
86.5 24%
Strengths
- · 2137 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11490, 1940, 9753
39
/ 100 compatProjected
65.2 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 11490, 1940, 9753
Auto
13.4 20%
Teleop
37.9 57%
Endgame
15.5 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score348.8pts
Blue projected score65.2pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 283.6
- Score range
- 37–377
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
523.7Season APEX98.7
90.5Auto13.4
181.2Teleop37.9
86.5Endgame15.5
12Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 94 | 14 |
| teleop | 195 | 18 |
| endgame | 97 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 386 | 39 |
Result
Final score
386 – 39
Prediction correct · off by 31.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.