FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.42 – 107.93

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

206 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.9 ±12.4

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 142.33Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 11Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11444Cougar Claw Robotics

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 18.09Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.9 ±11.7

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 11.39Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 80.28Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 16.26Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8608, 5225, 11444

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8608, 5225, 11444

Auto

17.6 10%

Teleop

118.0 69%

Endgame

36.1 21%

Strengths

· 8608 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7491, 3707, 6591

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7491, 3707, 6591

Auto

18.7 18%

Teleop

66.4 63%

Endgame

21.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score171.4pts

Blue projected score107.9pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.5
Score range: 82–197
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 143.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.9Season APEX369.9

17.6Auto18.7

118Teleop66.4

36.1Endgame21.1

31Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	26
teleop	119	91
endgame	76	32
foul	0	0
total	206	149

Result

Final score

206 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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