FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

403.95 – 105.78

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

413 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 8.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 633.8 ±9.3

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 166.47Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 31.04Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 206.44Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.9 ±13.3

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 26.25Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8362Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 22.36Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6078RoboRams

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 57.17Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5712, 8424, 2137

/ 100 compat

Projected

404 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5712, 8424, 2137

Auto

113.4 28%

Teleop

189.8 47%

Endgame

99.7 25%

Strengths

· 2137 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4776, 8362, 6078

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4776, 8362, 6078

Auto

19.9 19%

Teleop

51.9 51%

Endgame

30.3 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.67 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score404pts

Blue projected score105.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 298.2
Score range: 81–429
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

633.8Season APEX170.9

113.4Auto19.9

189.8Teleop51.9

99.7Endgame30.3

93Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	18
teleop	247	41
endgame	77	33
foul	0	5
total	413	97

Result

Final score

413 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 8.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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