FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

267.75 – 97.34

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

332 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 594 ±10.7

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 131.99Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7226Error 404

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 52.33Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

910The Foley Freeze

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 83.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 225.2 ±12.4

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 10.89Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 71.93Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 14.52Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8608, 7226, 910

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8608, 7226, 910

Auto

46.0 17%

Teleop

172.0 64%

Endgame

51.2 19%

Strengths

· 8608 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1940, 4327, 6591

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1940, 4327, 6591

Auto

13.0 14%

Teleop

54.5 58%

Endgame

26.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score267.8pts

Blue projected score97.3pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 170.4
Score range: 72–293
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 140.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

594Season APEX225.2

46Auto13

172Teleop54.5

51.2Endgame26.7

26Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	17
teleop	257	53
endgame	42	34
foul	15	0
total	332	104

Result

Final score

332 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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