FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.14 – 69.02

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 53.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.4 ±11.1

9251EliteBots

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 32.73Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 23.9Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 216.51Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.4 ±12.8

11444Cougar Claw Robotics

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 17.54Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 46.12Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10629Bath High School Bee-Botics

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 5.36Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9251, 7491, 2137

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9251, 7491, 2137

Auto

61.4 23%

Teleop

123.9 46%

Endgame

82.4 31%

Strengths

· 2137 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11444, 9255, 10629

/ 100 compat

Projected

69 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11444, 9255, 10629

Auto

9.8 15%

Teleop

30.3 45%

Endgame

27.2 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score273.1pts

Blue projected score69pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 204.1
Score range: 44–298
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 235 vs event baseline 141.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

398.4Season APEX180.4

61.4Auto9.8

123.9Teleop30.3

82.4Endgame27.2

30Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	15
teleop	77	29
endgame	17	14
foul	0	0
total	177	58

Result

Final score

177 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 53.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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