Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
133.55 – 92.45
63%37%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
165 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 26.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 387.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 71.94Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 46.68Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 14.93Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 46.63Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 20.44Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 25.38Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3707, 6078, 9237
57
/ 100 compatProjected
133.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3707, 6078, 9237
Auto
25.3 19%
Teleop
80.7 62%
Endgame
24.9 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6085, 9753, 10577
50
/ 100 compatProjected
92.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6085, 9753, 10577
Auto
25.7 27%
Teleop
47.7 51%
Endgame
20.9 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score133.6pts
Blue projected score92.5pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 41.1
- Score range
- 66–160
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
387.8Season APEX168.5
25.3Auto25.7
80.7Teleop47.7
24.9Endgame20.9
18Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 20 |
| teleop | 111 | 40 |
| endgame | 25 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 165 | 71 |
Result
Final score
165 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 26.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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