FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.48 – 183.99

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

216 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 371.9 ±12.4

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 9.71Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 24.59Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 174.18Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.5 ±12.4

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 17.92Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10629Bath High School Bee-Botics

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 12.66Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 153.41Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6591, 5225, 5712

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6591, 5225, 5712

Auto

42.1 20%

Teleop

118.9 57%

Endgame

47.0 23%

Strengths

· 5712 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7818, 10629, 7166

/ 100 compat

Projected

184 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7818, 10629, 7166

Auto

35.7 19%

Teleop

101.9 54%

Endgame

50.9 27%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.5pts

Blue projected score184pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.5
Score range: 156–236
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 414 vs event baseline 158.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

371.9Season APEX333.5

42.1Auto35.7

118.9Teleop101.9

47Endgame50.9

33Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	34
teleop	128	113
endgame	41	51
foul	0	0
total	216	198

Result

Final score

216 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.