FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

293.27 – 232.98

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 557.2 ±10.7

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 185.38Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10606The Foley Flare

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 17.54Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

910The Foley Freeze

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 90.35Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.6 ±11.2

8179Robo Falcons

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 68.3Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 16.05Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 148.63Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7166, 10606, 910

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7166, 10606, 910

Auto

51.5 18%

Teleop

163.6 57%

Endgame

72.8 25%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8179, 1504, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

233 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8179, 1504, 8608

Auto

35.5 15%

Teleop

149.9 65%

Endgame

45.4 20%

Strengths

· 8608 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score293.3pts

Blue projected score233pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.3
Score range: 207–319
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 449 vs event baseline 145.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

557.2Season APEX450.6

51.5Auto35.5

163.6Teleop149.9

72.8Endgame45.4

18Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	51
teleop	138	78
endgame	90	35
foul	0	0
total	285	164

Result

Final score

285 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.