Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
140.98 – 94.99
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
220 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 53 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 305.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 34.26Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 91.24Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 15.48Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 159 ±13.3
Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 27.42Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 20.52Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 47.05Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6078, 7056, 7491
59
/ 100 compatProjected
141 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6078, 7056, 7491
Auto
19.0 13%
Teleop
83.6 59%
Endgame
38.8 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9251, 7818, 7226
52
/ 100 compatProjected
95 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9251, 7818, 7226
Auto
21.7 23%
Teleop
47.6 51%
Endgame
24.2 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score141pts
Blue projected score95pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 46
- Score range
- 70–166
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
305.9Season APEX159
19Auto21.7
83.6Teleop47.6
38.8Endgame24.2
5Consistency24
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 14 |
| teleop | 125 | 73 |
| endgame | 72 | 35 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 220 | 122 |
Result
Final score
220 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 53 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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