Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
80.77 – 269.29
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
154 – 296
Prediction correct · off by 50 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -11.69Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 57.53Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 34.93Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 426.3 ±11.2
Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 46.82Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 10.87Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 211.6Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8374, 3707, 6085
40
/ 100 compatProjected
80.8 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8374, 3707, 6085
Auto
26.5 33%
Teleop
48.2 60%
Endgame
5.3 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9255, 7289, 2137
91
/ 100 compatProjected
269.3 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9255, 7289, 2137
Auto
74.4 27%
Teleop
130.0 48%
Endgame
66.5 25%
Strengths
- · 2137 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score80.8pts
Blue projected score269.3pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -188.5
- Score range
- 56–294
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
355.2Season APEX426.3
26.5Auto74.4
48.2Teleop130
5.3Endgame66.5
75Consistency148
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 84 |
| teleop | 78 | 97 |
| endgame | 49 | 105 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 154 | 296 |
Result
Final score
154 – 296
Prediction correct · off by 50 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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