FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

194.81 – 75.75

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

216 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 327 ±12.4

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 155.87Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9753Team Success

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 21.08Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8362Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 17.86Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.3 ±13.3

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 18.66Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6591Panther Powered Robotics 6591

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 18.35Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 38.74Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5712, 9753, 8362

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5712, 9753, 8362

Auto

48.0 25%

Teleop

96.6 50%

Endgame

48.8 25%

Strengths

· 5712 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9238, 6591, 10577

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9238, 6591, 10577

Auto

12.9 17%

Teleop

33.5 44%

Endgame

29.5 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score194.8pts

Blue projected score75.8pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 119.1
Score range: 51–220
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 264 vs event baseline 141.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

327Season APEX169.3

48Auto12.9

96.6Teleop33.5

48.8Endgame29.5

91Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	11
teleop	98	22
endgame	71	15
foul	0	0
total	216	48

Result

Final score

216 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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