FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.42 – 227.84

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.2 ±11.2

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 36.44Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9312NERD Spark

Season APEX 101.3Event APEX 32.93Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 51.05Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 458.5 ±10.5

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 45.11Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 166.09Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 16.64Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1504, 9312, 3707

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1504, 9312, 3707

Auto

48.7 41%

Teleop

68.2 57%

Endgame

2.0 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8424, 7166, 7491

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 7166, 7491

Auto

26.8 12%

Teleop

134.4 59%

Endgame

66.1 29%

Strengths

· 7166 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.4pts

Blue projected score227.8pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.4
Score range: 95–253
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 139.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.2Season APEX458.5

48.7Auto26.8

68.2Teleop134.4

2Endgame66.1

0Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	49
teleop	82	114
endgame	14	60
foul	0	0
total	134	223

Result

Final score

134 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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