FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.07 – 90.44

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.2 ±11.2

6085Green Devil Bots

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 27.28Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 127.14Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11490The Southwest Sparks

Season APEX 38Event APEX 8.65Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170 ±13.9

7226Error 404

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 51.22Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 32.94Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9203Quake

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX 6.28Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6085, 8608, 11490

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6085, 8608, 11490

Auto

23.5 14%

Teleop

98.8 61%

Endgame

40.1 25%

Strengths

· 8608 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7226, 5225, 9203

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7226, 5225, 9203

Auto

20.8 23%

Teleop

63.3 69%

Endgame

7.7 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.1pts

Blue projected score90.4pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.6
Score range: 65–188
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 139.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417.2Season APEX170

23.5Auto20.8

98.8Teleop63.3

40.1Endgame7.7

26Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	20
teleop	130	35
endgame	21	3
foul	0	0
total	209	58

Result

Final score

209 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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